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Tree Nerd Academy Business Report: About $35,000 a Month From One Arborist Exam

Exam prep for the ISA Certified Arborist test: one-time prices, a pass-or-refund guarantee, $263,293.

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ODDIG · Business report · Tree Nerd Academy
Report v1 · Data as of 2026-11-10
Tree Nerd Academytreenerdacademy.com ↗ · arborist exam prep

Tree Nerd Academy earns about $35,000 a month helping arborists pass one certification exam

An exam-prep course for the ISA Certified Arborist test, built by a Swedish marketing company with a Master Arborist as instructor. One-time prices from $60 to $229, a pass-or-refund guarantee, and $263,293 since January.

treenerdacademy.com
treenerdacademy.com homepage, captured Nov 11, 2026
Homepage · captured 2026-11-11

Product at a glance

What it isVideo lessons, 4,500+ flashcards, mock exams, an AI tutor and a study plan for the ISA Certified Arborist exam.
Who it’s forTree-care workers who need the ISA certification, in English and Spanish.
How it chargesOne-time: $60 practice pack, $199 self-study, $229 with community. Lifetime updates.
Business modelOne-time course sales with a refund guarantee; team seats on request.
Monthly revenue since June
~$34,900
average Jun–Oct
Derived
Revenue per visitor
$4.05
10,449 visitors in 30 days
Fact
Margin
95%
last 30 days
Fact
All-time verified revenue
$263,293
since Jan 2026
Fact
Revenue verified via Stripe on TrustMRR · synced 2026-11-10 21:12 UTCResearched 2026-11-11 · Oddig
ODDIG Business Report · Tree Nerd Academy · v1Data as of 2026-11-10 · Researched 2026-11-11
Quick read shows the scorecard, key findings, what to copy, our predictions and the bear case. Switch to Full report for the monthly chart, the prices, the guarantee and the channels.

Summary

What this business is

Tree Nerd Academy sells preparation for one exam: the International Society of Arboriculture’s Certified Arborist test. The course has video lessons, practice questions, mock exams, flashcards and an AI tutor, taught by Chris Comer, an ISA Board Certified Master Arborist. It is run by Nordic Social Media AB in Sweden; TrustMRR names Herman Palmgren as founder. Prices are one-time, from $60 to $229, with a refund if you complete the course and fail on the first try. Since sales began in early 2026 it has taken $263,293, about $35,000 a month since June.

FormOnline course
InstructorMaster Arborist
Price$60–$229 once
First salesJan 2026
Visitors / 30 days10,449
Margin95%
ODDIG scorecard1 = weak · 5 = strong · our judgement, no total score
Revenue qualityHow much recurs
2/5
Channel spreadNot one channel
3/5
CopyabilityFor a solo founder
4/5
DefensibilityHard to copy the product
3/5
Evidence strengthHow sure we are
4/5
Share

Why these scores? See the reasons in Key takeaways →

Momentum

Rising. Revenue: last three complete months +17% on the three before; +87% on the same months half a year earlier.Derived

Best suited for

Marketer (main). A marketing company found the niche and built the funnel.

Creator (second). The instructor’s expertise is the product.

What you need to start. A certification exam people must pass, and an expert willing to put their name on a course.Our read

Key findings

01One exam, $35,000 a monthRevenue has held between $33,224 and $38,886 a month since June.FactSee the monthly chart →
02A marketer and a Master ArboristRun by a Swedish marketing company; taught by an ISA Board Certified Master Arborist with about 20 years in the trade.FactSee the product →
03Pass or get your money backA full refund if you finish the course and fail on the first try, with conditions.FactSee the prices →
Evidence tagsFactfrom a listed public sourceDerivedour arithmetic on factsFounderclaimed by the founder or siteOur readour judgement
01

Product overview

Everything for one exam, from flashcards to an AI tutor.

The course offers 6+ hours of video lessons, 4,500+ flashcards and a glossary, unlimited mock exams that mimic the real test, a 60-day study plan and an AI tutor[2]. A free 100-question practice exam with a 105-minute limit needs no sign-up[2]. There is also a Spanish-language version[2].

The instructor is Chris Comer, an ISA Board Certified Master Arborist with about 20 years in the trade[2]. The company behind it is Nordic Social Media AB in Sweden, and TrustMRR lists Herman Palmgren as founder[1][2]. TrustMRR shows a 95% margin[1].

What the site looks like

treenerdacademy.com
treenerdacademy.com homepage on desktop, captured Nov 11, 2026
treenerdacademy.com homepage on a phone, captured Nov 11, 2026

Captured Nov 11, 2026 · Screenshots: treenerdacademy.com.

What to look for

  1. 1
    “Pass the ISA Certified Arborist Exam – or get your money back.” The guarantee is the headline.Fact
  2. 2
    The feature list: 6+ hours of video, 4,500+ flashcards, unlimited mock exams, a 60-day study plan.Fact
  3. 3
    The phone view repeats the pass guarantee under the button, with its condition: complete the full course.Fact
Our readA marketing company brought the funnel and an expert brought the credibility; neither would have this business alone.Our read
02

Revenue analysis

Two levels: about $17,000 a month in spring, about $35,000 since June.

Jul 2026
$38,886
$31.5K$21K$10.5K
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov

Hover or tap a bar. Monthly verified revenue from TrustMRR[1], January to November 2026: the course’s whole record. November covers Nov 1–10.

Revenue quality
Revenue ÷ MRR
No MRR (one-time sales)
Share of all-time revenue
100% since Jan 2026
Verified record starts
Jan 2026
Typical monthly swing
15% a month

Our arithmetic on the verified data in this report. Revenue ÷ MRR uses the last 30 days; the share of all-time revenue counts the months in the chart above; the swing is the median change between complete months.

After a $466 January, revenue ran between $14,469 and $21,517 from February to May, then stepped up to $33,224–38,886 from June to October[1]. The June–October average is $34,923.Derived

Daily revenue

Oct 26, 2026
$3,811
Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Nov 3

Hover or tap a bar. Verified daily revenue, Oct 13 – Nov 9, 2026 (UTC), from TrustMRR[1]. Blue: Saturdays and Sundays. Nov 10 is left out because the day was not complete at sync.

Share
Weekday average
$1,485

20 weekdays.Derived

Weekend average
$1,351

8 weekend days.Derived

Revenue per visitor
$4.05

10,449 visitors in 30 days, on TrustMRR.Fact

Course-equivalents at $199
~1,323

All-time revenue ÷ $199.Derived

Market

The site compares itself with TreeU, about $150 for 30 days of access, and with live chapter courses at $300–500 per event[2]. We found no rival with verified revenue on the same basis, so revenue is not compared.

03

Pricing: one-time, with a guarantee

Three one-time prices and a refund promise.

PlanPriceWhat it adds
Practice Pack$60Practice questions, mock exams, flashcards
Self-Study Protocol$199 (listed $249)Video lessons, AI tutor, pass guarantee
Inner Circle Edition$229 (listed $299)Plus lifetime community, career networking, podcast
Teams (6+)On requestVolume pricing, progress dashboard

From the live site, read Nov 11, 2026[2].

In March 2026 the launch page sold the $199 plan with a countdown of remaining spots, saying the price would return to $249 or $299 when they ran out[3]. Eight months later the same discounted prices are still shown[2].Derived The guarantee requires finishing every lesson and video, sending official results and claiming within 30 days of the exam[2].

Our readFor someone whose job depends on passing, $199 once with a refund promise is an easy decision next to $150 a month elsewhere.Our read
04

Where customers come from

Free practice first, then the course.

Mainvisible on the siteswipe →
Free practice exam
100 questions

No sign-up; instant domain breakdown.[2]

Fact
Blog guides
Study topics

Study schedules, PPE, a 40+ term glossary, flashcard spacing.[2]

Fact
Site traffic
10,449 / 30 days

Measured by DataFast.[1]

Fact
Supportingvisible, impact not measurableswipe →
Spanish site
Second language

A Spanish version of the course.[2]

Fact
Team sales
6+ seats

Volume pricing on request.[2]

Fact

What we could not read

Traffic sources, ad spend and refund volume are not public.

05

Growth strategies

Three moves, each visible from outside.

P1Expert plus marketer
What they didA marketing company built the course around a Master Arborist instructor.[1][2]
What happenedAbout $35,000 a month since June.[1]Derived
How you can use itFind an expert with credibility in a niche exam and handle the funnel yourself.
Cost & conditions Revenue sharing and dependence on one person. 7-day test: list three certification exams in trades you know and one expert for each.
P2Pass or refund
What they didPromised a full refund for first-try failures, with completion conditions.[2]
What happenedNot measurable from outside.Our read
How you can use itRemove the buyer’s risk, and tie the refund to finishing the course.
Cost & conditions Refunds cut revenue if the course underperforms. 7-day test: add a conditional result guarantee to one product page.
P3Free full practice exam
What they didOffered a 100-question timed practice exam with no sign-up.[2]
What happenedNot measurable from outside.Our read
How you can use itGive a real taste of the test; the results show what they still need.
Cost & conditions Some people only take the free test. 7-day test: publish one free timed quiz and show a score breakdown at the end.
06

Timeline

  • Dec 42025
    ProductFounding date on TrustMRR.[1]
  • Feb2026
    Revenue$18,832, the first full month of sales.[1]
  • Mar 92026
    PricingLaunch offer $199, ‘returns to $249’ when spots run out.[3]
  • Jul2026
    Revenue$38,886, the best month so far.[1]
  • Sep 52026
    RevenueAll-time revenue $179,292.[3]
  • Nov 102026
    RevenueAll-time revenue $263,293.[1]
07

Key takeaways

Tree Nerd Academy shows that a narrow professional exam can support a $35,000-a-month course when a marketer and a recognised expert combine, with one-time prices and a guarantee doing the selling.

Why we scored it this way

ODDIG scorecard1 = weak · 5 = strong · our judgement, no total score
Revenue qualityHow much recurs
2/5
One-time sales only; each month needs new exam candidates.Fact
Channel spreadNot one channel
3/5
A free practice exam, blog guides, a Spanish site and team sales; the traffic split is not public.Our read
CopyabilityFor a solo founder
4/5
A course plus a known expert; the model works for many certification exams.Our read
DefensibilityHard to copy the product
3/5
A Master Arborist’s name and a growing question bank are not quick to copy.Our read
Evidence strengthHow sure we are
4/5
Stripe-verified sales, verified traffic and archived launch pricing. No pass rate is published.Our read
Share

Copy

  1. Pick an exam people must pass for work. Their employer or career depends on it. P1
  2. Partner with a recognised expert. The instructor’s title sells the course. P1
  3. Guarantee the result. Pass or refund, with completion conditions. P2
  4. Give away a full practice exam. 100 questions, no sign-up. P3

Avoid

  1. Expecting renewals. Once people pass, they leave. §02
  2. Claiming results without numbers. No pass rate is published. §09
  3. Ignoring the ceiling. One exam has a limited number of candidates a year. §09
08

Our predictions

Three claims with dates. We mark each one right or wrong on its date and keep the result on the page.

#PredictionCheck onStatus
#1
November verified revenue lands between $28,000 and $45,000TrustMRR, $33,224 to $38,886 a month since June; Nov 1–10: $17,900.
Dec 1, 2026Open
#2
December revenue is lower than October’s $35,040Fewer people book exams over the holidays.
Jan 2, 2027Open
#3
All-time verified revenue passes $400,000TrustMRR, $263,293 on Nov 10 at about $35,000 a month.
Mar 31, 2027Open

Track record: the predictions in our earlier reports are still open; the first checks land Dec 1, 2026. We mark each prediction right or wrong on its date and keep the result on the page.

09

What could prove us wrong

Things that would change our read, and how to check them.

  1. Refunds are not visible. The guarantee could cost more than it seems; net revenue after refunds is not shown separately.Check: not public.
  2. No pass rate. The site claims thousands of successful arborists but gives no number.Check: not public.
  3. The candidate pool is finite. Growth needs other languages, team sales or other exams.Check: new products on the next review.
  4. The 1-in-3 failure rate is the site’s own figure. No source is given.Check: ISA statistics.

Appendix

FAQ

How much does Tree Nerd Academy make?

$42,929 in the 30 days to Nov 10, 2026, verified through Stripe on TrustMRR. All-time revenue is $263,293, all since January 2026.

What does Tree Nerd Academy cost?

One-time: Practice Pack $60, Self-Study Protocol $199 (listed at $249), Inner Circle $229 (listed at $299). Teams of six or more get volume pricing.

What is the guarantee?

A full refund if you complete 100% of the course, take the exam, fail on the first attempt, send official results and ask within 30 days.

Who teaches it?

Chris Comer, an ISA Board Certified Master Arborist with about 20 years in tree care. The business is run by Nordic Social Media AB.

Sources

  1. [1]
    TrustMRR: Tree Nerd Academy — revenue, traffic, daily and monthly data. Verified through a Stripe API key; traffic through DataFast. Synced 2026-11-10 21:12 UTC.
  2. [2]
    treenerdacademy.com — plans, guarantee terms, instructor, free practice exam, comparison table. Read 2026-11-11.
  3. [3]
    Wayback Machine captures of treenerdacademy.com on Mar 9, 2026 and of the TrustMRR page on Sep 5, 2026 — launch pricing; all-time revenue on that date. Read 2026-11-11.

Screenshots © Tree Nerd Academy, used for commentary. Oddig has no business relationship with Tree Nerd Academy or ISA. Numbers change daily; check the sources for the latest.

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